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Due Diligence

Tampa Bay FEMA Disaster Declarations and Home Values: 2022 to 2026 Trends

Troy Nowak
October 22, 2026
7 min read
St. Petersburg waterfront homes for a report on FEMA disaster declarations and Tampa Bay home value trends

Every FEMA declaration listing Pinellas since Ian, why there is none in 2025 or 2026, and how the FHFA house price index for St. Pete and Tampa moved around the 2024 storms.

Last verified: October 22, 2026

Pinellas County has no FEMA disaster declaration in 2025 or 2026. OpenFEMA, checked October 22, 2026, lists Pinellas on three major disaster declarations in 2024, for Hurricanes Debby, Helene and Milton, each with an emergency declaration before it. Over the same stretch, the federal house price index for the St. Petersburg-Clearwater-Largo area went flat and then slipped, while the Tampa side kept inching up.

I'm Troy Nowak, broker of Mangrove Bay Realty (BK3436609). This page puts the declaration record and the price index side by side for Tampa Bay, and it says plainly where the data stops.

Which FEMA declarations list Pinellas County?

The table comes from FEMA's Disaster Declarations Summaries dataset. DR is a major disaster declaration. EM is an emergency declaration. IA means Individual Assistance was declared for the county, and PA means Public Assistance.

DeclarationDate declaredEventPrograms for Pinellas
DR-4834October 11, 2024Hurricane MiltonIA, PA
EM-3622October 7, 2024Hurricane MiltonPA
DR-4828September 28, 2024Hurricane HeleneIA, PA
EM-3615September 24, 2024Tropical Storm HelenePA
DR-4806August 10, 2024Hurricane DebbyIA, PA
EM-3605August 3, 2024Tropical Storm DebbyPA
DR-4734August 31, 2023Hurricane IdaliaIA, PA
DR-4680December 13, 2022Hurricane NicolePA
DR-4673September 29, 2022Hurricane IanIA, PA

Source: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, filtered to Pinellas County, Florida, queried October 22, 2026. Earlier emergency declarations for Ian (EM-3584), Nicole (EM-3587) and Idalia (EM-3596) also list Pinellas.

No declaration dated 2025 or 2026 lists Pinellas. The only Florida declarations in OpenFEMA for 2026 so far are two fire management declarations in April (Levy, Clay and Putnam counties) and EM-3655 for Hurricane Isaias on October 9, 2026, which lists 27 counties in North Florida and the Panhandle. Pinellas, Hillsborough, Pasco and Manatee are not among them.

Bar chart of federal major disaster and emergency declarations listing Pinellas County by year, 2016 to 2026

The 2020 bars include the COVID-19 declarations (EM-3432 and DR-4486), which were not storms.

Did the rest of Tampa Bay get the same declarations?

Yes for 2024. Hillsborough, Pasco and Manatee are listed on DR-4806 (Debby), DR-4828 (Helene) and DR-4834 (Milton). Pasco's listing on DR-4806 shows Public Assistance only. None of the four counties is listed on a 2025 or 2026 declaration.

What happened to home prices around the storms?

The Federal Housing Finance Agency publishes an all-transactions house price index by metro area. It is a repeat-sales index, so it tracks the same homes over time instead of a median price. Tampa Bay is split into two metro divisions: St. Petersburg-Clearwater-Largo (Pinellas) and Tampa.

Line chart of the FHFA all-transactions house price index for the St. Petersburg-Clearwater-Largo and Tampa metro divisions, 2021 to 2026, with storm markers

QuarterSt. Petersburg-Clearwater-Largo indexTampa index
2022 Q3 (Ian)562.34479.82
2024 Q2599.54501.66
2024 Q3 (Debby, Helene)606.45506.29
2024 Q4 (Milton)600.63506.30
2025 Q1591.26508.11
2025 Q4597.10511.25
2026 Q2594.44516.64

Source: FHFA House Price Index, all-transactions, metro areas (hpi_at_metro.csv), downloaded October 22, 2026. Not seasonally adjusted.

From 2024 Q3 to 2026 Q2, the St. Petersburg-Clearwater-Largo index fell about 2.0%. The Tampa index rose about 2.0% over the same quarters. That is our math from the FHFA file.

Does that prove the storms lowered coastal values?

No. The index covers the whole metro division, inland and coastal, and it does not separate flood zones or waterfront homes. Insurance costs, interest rates and inventory all moved in the same period. The data shows Pinellas prices stalled after the 2024 storms while Tampa's did not. It does not tell you how much of that came from storm damage.

We did not find a public, sourced index of coastal-only or flood-zone-only home values for Pinellas, so this page does not publish one. For a specific house, a broker CMA with recent sales on the same street and the same flood zone is the honest answer.

What does a missing 2025 or 2026 declaration mean for a buyer?

It means FEMA did not declare a federal disaster for Pinellas in those years. It does not change the flood zone on the map, the base flood elevation, or the insurance rating of a house. A property that flooded in 2024 still carries that history, and a substantial-damage determination from 2024 can still affect permits.

Before you write an offer near the water:

  1. Pull the flood zone from the FEMA Flood Map Service Center and read the Pinellas flood zone map and FEMA declaration guide.
  2. Ask the seller in writing about 2024 storm damage, insurance claims and FEMA assistance.
  3. Check permits for post-storm repairs with the city or county building department.
  4. Get flood and wind insurance quotes for the exact address before you set the price.
  5. Compare the house against recent sales, not the metro index. Use the free home value review or the St. Pete neighborhood guide.

Official sources

Frequently asked questions

Was there a FEMA disaster declaration for Pinellas County in 2025?

No. OpenFEMA, checked October 22, 2026, lists no 2025 or 2026 declaration for Pinellas County. The most recent are the 2024 declarations for Hurricanes Debby (DR-4806), Helene (DR-4828) and Milton (DR-4834).

Did home values in Pinellas drop after Helene and Milton?

The FHFA all-transactions index for the St. Petersburg-Clearwater-Largo division was about 2.0% lower in 2026 Q2 than in 2024 Q3. That is a metro-wide index, so it cannot isolate coastal homes or the effect of the storms.

Does a FEMA declaration change my flood zone?

No. Declarations open federal aid after a disaster. Flood zones come from FEMA flood maps, which change through a separate mapping process.

Who can review a coastal house before I offer?

Troy Nowak, broker of Mangrove Bay Realty (BK3436609), can pull the flood zone, storm history and comparable sales for the address. Send the address

Educational real estate information, not insurance or legal advice. FEMA and FHFA data are revised. Check the linked sources before you rely on a number.

About the author

Troy Nowak
Troy Nowak

Broker · Mangrove Bay Realty

Troy Nowak is the Broker of Mangrove Bay Realty and a licensed Florida real estate broker. He owns and manages STR and furnished rentals in Pinellas County, is an Airbnb Superhost, and brings former institutional acquisition experience to local buyer and seller decisions. Before real estate, Troy spent a decade as a Pinellas County math teacher and the head varsity basketball coach at Dunedin High, so he knows the neighborhoods, school zones, and what makes Pinellas tick from a lived-in angle. 325+ closings since 2019, average $523K, every range from first-time buyers at $117K to waterfront homes at $1.9M.

Broker of Mangrove Bay Realty300+ homes sold in Tampa BayOwns and manages STR and furnished rentalsAirbnb Superhost/operator experienceFormer institutional acquisition experience
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Florida Licensed Broker · #BK3436609

Topics in this article

FEMA disaster declarationPinellas CountyTampa Bay home valuesHurricane MiltonHurricane Helene

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